Key Insights:

  • LUNC’s current supply is 5.4–5.8 trillion tokens, far from the 340 million pre-crash supply.
  • Over 123 billion LUNC tokens have been burned by early 2025.
  • LUNC’s all-time high market cap was $40 billion, now a fraction of that at ~$600 million.
  • Analyst predicts a breakout.

Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) suffered a significant decline. This has made reclaiming its former status as a leading digital asset challenging.

Its fall has raised worries about its ability to recover from previous failures. Concerns about regaining its standing as a significant digital asset have also been expressed.

Terra Luna Classic Supply and the Challenge of Restoration

The circulating supply of Terra Luna Classic rose to approximately 5.4–5.8 trillion tokens. This happened after the crash started from a previous level of 340 million tokens. 

The supply surge is the main factor behind LUNC’s continuing struggles in the cryptocurrency market.

LUNC reached its peak market value with an initial supply moderate enough to achieve a $40 Billion market capitalization. 

The project became unstable after its value crash, bringing excessive token supply to an unsustained state. The large increase in supply reduced the value of each token. This prevented LUNC from recovering to its prior price peaks.  

LUNC’s market capitalization stood at about $600 Million early in 2025. In addition, Terra Luna Classic faced substantial barriers to its revival. Its current circulating token supply remains substantially higher than its pre-crash level. 

Given the current token circulation levels, it is unlikely for LUNC tokens to reach their previous peak values. Achieving such a recovery would require significantly reduced tokens or large-scale burning.

LUNC Burns: Progress and Limitations

More so, Terra Luna Classic has implemented a burn mechanism as part of its strategy to eliminate the large token supply. 123 billion LUNC tokens were burned by early 2025 to decrease supply and boost value. 

Total daily LUNC token burns reach between 300 million and 1 billion. This highlighted ongoing work to shrink the present token circulation. The currently available token supply presents a major challenge that impedes future success. 

Reducing supply to match pre-crash levels demands continuous token burning at present rates spanning decades. Implementing quick burn methods through enhanced exchange collaboration doesn’t entirely overcome the obstacles involved in this process. 

Market Capitalization and LUNC’s Road to Recovery

When Terra Luna Classic reached its maximum value, it reached a $40 Billion market capitalization, becoming a leading cryptocurrency. 

The market capitalization of LUNC stood at $600 Million after its dramatic depletion following the collapse. Market confidence collapsed, and excessive supply decreased token values, decreasing market capitalization. 

The sharp drop in market capitalization indicates challenges for LUNC in regaining its former market position. Significant ecosystem changes and technological innovations may be required for its recovery.

Analyst Predicts a Potential Breakout

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Aniekeme Umoh has observed how Terra Luna Classic entered a triangular consolidation pattern. A price breakout appears likely after the asset maintains its trendline support level.

Source: X

An upward breakout from the shape would trigger a substantial price rise, directing the price toward its next resistance level. To execute their trades, most traders require validation signals.

The pattern of higher lows and lower highs indicates that LUNC intends to experience volatility. A price breakout from the triangle resistance line may initiate an upward market trend.

Terra Luna Classic will likely reach the 0.0000700–0.0000800 price point following this trend. A price move below the support line might lead to consolidation and downmarket potential.